Lemmings

As we rush with UKIP to the edge of the cliff, like so many lemmings, we can agree with John Harris when he writes that there is something tragic about the decline of the putz DC. A fact remains articulated by brilliant Mason that Borisconi, Gove, Patel, IDS and Fromage stand ready to seize control of the Tory party and turn Britain into a neoliberal fantasy island”.  UK appears damned if we stay in the EU and damned if we leave,  yet decent JC has managed to perform a difficult balancing act over the EU. 

As desperate shmuk DC blathers about Brexit being a bomb under the UK economical revival, the racists have the chief shlong clutching at straws. Incredibly the chief pig fucker still thinks folk wwill believe him when he spouts: ‘Add those things together – the shock impact, the uncertainty impact, the trade impact – and you put a bomb under our economy.’  What disgusting DC cannot say is that a leave vote in the EU referendum would throw the Tories into an absolute crisis.

 

Commentators warn of a right wing coup from Borisconi, Gove, Priti Patel and IDS, which is an idea which splits the left. Matthew Black sees the EU referendum as a Waterloo moment for Borisconi and DC: “Of their respective leaders; one will depart the field victorious, while the other will crawl away a battered and bloody mess, with a killer blow to be struck in the following weeks.”  Project fear has Carney warnings in over time, but decent JC is unable to penetrate the façade of DC at PMQs of 08/06/16.  Indeed against disgusting lying shmuk DC JC cannot make headway, it is as if PMQs has lost any relevance.

 

Few people have looked at the implications of a Borisconi lead government for Corbyn. Few people think it could happen, and yet Borisconi presents a completely different can of worms to DC. While DC is a sloppy bully, keen as IDS to bash the bible, Borisconi is fucking sloppy and relatively anti social. Borisconi has carefully created a darkly humorous niche and is completely unchallenged. Few commentators have been able to contemplate the possibilities of Borisconi facing JC, but many will acknowledge that Borisconi rapidly will lose his cool under pressure, for example

 

As the sage Fromage writes of Borisconi: “I think Boris is a very good guy. He could be our next Prime Minister – if we vote for Brexit he probably will be. I would like to see anybody as Prime Minister other than this man who clearly can’t give the British public the truth about anything.” 

 

 

The journalist Suzanne Moore articulates the dilemma: “I share this loss of nerve because of the company I would be in: the apocalypse of Borisconi. But I sense that, for many, a strange game is being played out whereby voting leave is not seen as such an enormous gamble. Much of England is ready to roll that dice; this part of England, so often despised, demonised and disrespected by those who claim to represent it, does need to be spoken for. This England will not do as it is told. This England may not be London and may not be subsumed into the fantasy of Great Britain, whichever side is selling it. When government, opposition and businesses are speaking with one voice, many feel there is not much of an actual choice on offer here.” 

With so many things happening in this slow motion car crash we have to tear our eyes from the wretched EU debate and its referendum on immigration. As has been seen in distant polls, no one gives a shtup about Europe except for UKIP members and right wing Tories, everyone else has far more pressing things to worry about. If the grim predictions are to be believed, UK is on the brink of a major crisis.

 

Meeks comments on the referendum: We are standing at a fork in the road.  Neither branch of the fork will lead us in the same political direction that we have been travelling down to date.  Trotsky told us that war is the locomotive of history and it seems that referendums are the locomotive of politics.”

 

 

No amount of faux-populism from the cynical toffs, will deter disabled people from voting to stay in. It is important to note that the lowering of the benefit cap by the shvantz has been brought forward to Autumn 2016 rather than Spring 2017, as we hasten towards Austerity Max. This will be catching hundreds of thousands of poor people having their lives destroyed so these rich bloated khazers do not have to contribute a penny to mess they created.

 

Its not hard to see crisis in the NHS, whether its the stacking ambulances outside Queen Alexandra Hospital in Portsmouth, or 450 jobs Jeremy Cunt is shedding at Sandwell and West Birmingham NHS trust. Others warn that if we leave the EU it will directly affect the NHS by wiping £10000000000 from the public finances. Dr Sarah Wollaston (Tory Totnes) is so disgusted by the rampant anti EU NHS lies that she is now switching to the IN campaign. Meanwhile Polly Toynbee is warning us of released furies which cannot be controlled, but if we stay in the Euro is she seriously telling us that there will not be austerity max anyhow?

 

The ever hopeful Canary blog takes note of the four local elections, which the Filth recently had bad losses in, saying that these are early signs that JC could waltz into power. A reality is that JC would not be able to simply waltz into power, JC would have to form a progressive relationship with The Greens, Plaid Cymru, and the SNP, but a narrow path to victory exists. Borisconi is losing a lot of his shine, but many folk are asking me what will happen to UKIP and the UKIP vote after a ‘leave’ referendum. Some people will tell that UKIP will survive, that it will veer to the right – that it will become unpalatable as the crazies come to the fore. Others will tell you that the long term future for UKIP could be bleak.

 

This is discussed by the Fabian Society: “UKIP and its backers will obviously be happier in the short term if the country votes to leave the EU on June 23rd. But what then? UKIP will have to decide what role to play in the exit negotiations, and what to focus on next. This will most likely trigger as many internal conflicts as a remain vote and absorb the attention and resources of party elites for several years. However, a vote for Brexit is unlikely to resolve the structural problems which drove UKIP support up in the first place, and may make some worse. For example, the older, less skilled workers who find UKIP most attractive may be the hardest hit by any Brexit related economic turmoil.”  If it is true that leaving the EU will create a severe economic downtown, then the comments of fabulous OJ are resounding: “When presented with a vote on the status quo, it is no surprise that those with the least stake in it vote to abandon it. The same happened in Scotland’s independence referendum. Threats of economic Armageddon resonate little with people living in communities that feel ignored, marginalised and belittled. “Economic insecurity beckons!” people who live in perpetual economic insecurity are told. A Conservative prime minister lines up with pillars of Britain’s establishment with a message of doom – and it makes millions of people even more determined to stick their fingers up at it.”  Repercussions of leaving would hit the financial sector most hard which would directly affect the ability of the Tories.

 

As we head towards the Brexit, zombie Osborne is warning of a budget of £30000000000 of cuts, its a characteristic of the zombie that all they have is the discredited Project Fear.  To compound the problem the fascist Fromage has revealed he does not have a clue what will happen after the referendum. But it is still not too late, UK can pull back from the brink and acknowledge that Brexit will lead to misery.

 

Without a doubt a casualty of the referendum has been democracy, with the in and out campaigns spouting a stream of shite not seen since the Scottish referendum. Winsland sums this up in his concluding remarks in the blog Backbench: “When this referendum does eventually arrive – and it is already looming large before us – I will be relieved once it is over and done with. Not because I think democracy is an inconvenience or that the subject is unimportant, but because I think it is so important that that this country deserves and can do better than this farcical fracas. It is because it is such a pivotal event and such a consequential decision that I think the standard of the debate offered to us by our so-called “leaders” is insulting to our intelligence; it falls far short of what the scale of the occasion suitably demands. “So, on Thursday 23 June, make sure you vote. Take this matter back and make it clear that our country’s future belongs to our country’s people. If we let the standard of the debate dissuade us from exercising that right, then we relinquish the precious power we have to determine our future. We have let the campaigns fall into the misguided grip of their politicians. We must make sure not to cede the final result to them too.” 

 

The fact is that the path from the maelstrom to a socialist utopia is not at all straight forward, with a whole number of barriers along the way, and yet Brexit presents opportunities to the left, as John Rees explains in the excellent Counterfire blog: “…if Leave win the crisis will be much, much deeper. Here’s why: Cameron will be toast very quickly, and the Tory party will be internally split for at least 5 years. That much is certain. There will likely be a general election. That’s probable. And Jeremy Corbyn has a good chance of winning that (a much better chance than surviving serial coups attempts all the way to 2020) as long as the failures of the EU campaign damage Labour with its core vote. But even more important than this: the Tory party will have a policy totally at odds with the majority section of British capital. For a party whose whole reason for existence is to be the political representative of capital this would pose an existential threat.

There will not be an automatic lurch to the right even with a figure like Johnson or May as Tory leader. The Tories will just have suffered their biggest reverse since the defeat of Thatcher. Their back-benchers are split down the middle. They only have a 17 seat working majority. They are under investigation for electoral fraud in more seats than that. They have just had to make a series of policy reverses. Their only hope is that Labour pulls their chestnuts out of the fire as it did in the Scottish referendum.

Only someone entirely wedded to the linear school of historical analysis could fail to see an opportunity for the left in this situation. Minds uncomfortable with contradiction always have difficulty with social crises of course. They can’t deal with polarisation, with the fact that both the right and the left can, for a period, both accumulate forces out of such a crisis. They are always waiting for the ‘right time’ for the left to act, but that moment never comes because the right have no such inhibitions about acting ‘prematurely’. So if we don’t see such crisesas an opportunity for the left we will be doomed to permanent defeat…or just accepting the least worst capitalist option.

We need to understand the complex nature of the crisis, and to see that the Labour leadership has created a danger in this situation. But we can organise a successful resistance. To do this we need to seize the opportunity a crisis gives us (as we did when we formed the Stop the War Coalition the week after 9/11, when it would have been so easy to just say ‘the right will benefit’). We need to reunite the left in the battle against austerity and be alert to the meaning of the crisis in the Tory party. The alternative perspective is doom laden pessimismwhich abuses millions of workers as racists and leads to tail ending Cameron.” 

The blog Salvage Zone talks about the struggle ahead: “We must not underestimate the severity of the conditions facing us if we hope for a socialist renewal in Britain. Part of this must be to recognise the British state as the bulwark against change that it is. To note that Britain’s state contains overwhelming anti-democratic structures and privileges is not to argue for some teleological solution for a new, fully bourgeois revolution to democratise it, as if the road to socialism is paved with bourgeois democracy; the experiences of left-wing governments almost universally has been one of open hostility no matter how democratic the state structures. Rather, such an assessment of the particularities of the British state must be made precisely to make clear the dangers involved in the parliamentary road to socialism in Britain, and, fundamentally, the hard road to renewal that lies ahead.”

Advertisements
Lemmings

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s